How many Republican House members not running in 2026?
7 markets PoliticsUS ElectionMidtermsElections
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The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026. For …
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 28 and 31 inclusive? 1% chance Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive? 5% chance Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 24? 10% chance Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive? 13% chance Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive? 71% chance Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more? 1% chance Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 40 and 43 inclusive? 5% chance