How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?
7 markets PoliticsCongressMidtermsUS Election
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The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026. For …
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 20? 4% chance Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive? 37% chance Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive? 38% chance Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive? 5% chance Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 28 and 31 inclusive? 9% chance Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be 40 or more? 3% chance Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive? 3% chance