How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
7 markets WeatherClimate & ScienceScienceNatural Disasters
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This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthqua…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? 22% chance Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? 23% chance Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? 38% chance Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? 4% chance Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? 1% chance Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? 7% chance Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Closed