Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
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About
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every fou…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? 54% chance
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? 33% chance
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? 77% chance
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? 51% chance
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal? 18% chance
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? 75% chance
Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal? 8% chance
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal? 20% chance
Will Alexander Efimov win the 2026 Fields Medal? 8% chance
Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal? 22% chance
Will Vesselin Dimitrov win the 2026 Fields Medal? 47% chance
