Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
11 markets AwardsScienceCulture
About
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every fou…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? 54% chance Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? 33% chance Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? 77% chance Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? 51% chance Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal? 18% chance Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? 75% chance Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal? 8% chance Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal? 20% chance Will Alexander Efimov win the 2026 Fields Medal? 8% chance Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal? 22% chance Will Vesselin Dimitrov win the 2026 Fields Medal? 47% chance