What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
15 markets Fed RatesEconomic PolicyFedPolitics
About
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? 8% chance Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? 22% chance Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? 28% chance Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? 2% chance Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? 16% chance Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? 0% chance Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? 0% chance Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? 8% chance Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026? 1% chance Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? 1% chance Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? 1% chance Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? 1% chance Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? 1% chance Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? 3% chance Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? 1% chance