Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
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This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of who will be confirmed as the next Fed Chair and whether the Fed’s lower bound will reach 2.5% or lower (https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-fed-rate-hit-before-2027) at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. …
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? 90% chance Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026? 5% chance
Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026? Closed Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? Closed Will something else than the listed options occur in respect to Fed Chair confirmation and rates? Closed
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026? Closed
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026? Closed Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? Closed Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? Closed