Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to formally recognize Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to…
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Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? 5% chance Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025? Closed Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? Closed