AR-04 House Election Winner
8 markets Nov 4 ElectionsPoliticsElectionsMidterms
About
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined …
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat? 95% chance Will the Democratic Party win the AR-04 House seat? 3% chance Will another party win the AR-04 House seat? — chance Will B win the AR-04 House seat? — chance Will D win the AR-04 House seat? — chance Will A win the AR-04 House seat? — chance Will C win the AR-04 House seat? — chance Will E win the AR-04 House seat? — chance