Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.0728° N, 36.5235° E in Havrylivka by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (ht…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026? 15% chance Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? 14% chance Will Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026? Closed Will Russia capture Havrylivka by April 30, 2026? Closed
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by February 28, 2026? Closed
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by March 31, 2026? Closed Will Russia capture Havrylivka by May 31, 2026? Closed