Will Russia capture Toretske by...?
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.494901° N, 37.365342° E in Toretske, Donetsk Oblast, by February 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shade…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026? 13% chance Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? 38% chance Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026? Closed
Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026? Closed Will Russia capture Toretske by May 31, 2026? Closed Will Russia capture Toretske by April 30, 2026? Closed