Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https:…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? 77% chance
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? 5% chance
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? 11% chance
Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? 1% chance
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? 8% chance
Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? 1% chance
Will Mistral be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? 1% chance
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? 1% chance
Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? 1% chance Will a company not listed here be the first to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company F be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company I be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company K be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company P be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company T be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company V be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company X be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company E be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company M be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company O be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company Q be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company N be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company R be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company Y be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company D be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company G be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company H be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company J be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company L be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company S be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company U be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance Will Company W be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — chance