Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.528896° N, 37.702514° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Kostyantynivka will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shad…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? 51% chance
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? 0% chance Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026? 4% chance Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? 21% chance