Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Lyman, Donetsk Oblast, (48.990595° N, 37.805666° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Lyman will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW …
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? 26% chance
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026? 1% chance