How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
8 markets WeatherNatural DisastersClimate & ScienceScience
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This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/torna…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? 1% chance Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? 64% chance Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? 9% chance Will 1050 to 1099 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? 2% chance Will 950 to 999 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? 1% chance Will 1000 to 1049 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? 1% chance Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? 8% chance Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? 3% chance