US Trade Deficit in 2026?
8 markets TrumpEconomyTariffsdeficit
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This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected …
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B? 5% chance Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T? 15% chance Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B? 38% chance Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more? 1% chance Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B? 21% chance Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 600B and 700B? 10% chance Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T? 4% chance Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 500B and 600B? 3% chance