Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
6 markets GazaGeopoliticsPoliticsGlobal
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify.…
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Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? 20% chance Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Closed Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Closed Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31? Closed Will Hamas agree to disarm by November 30? Closed Will Hamas agree to disarm by February 28? Closed