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Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

24 markets PoliticsGeopoliticsStarmerRewards 20, 4.5, 50

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This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from offi…

Markets in this event

Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will no listed leader be out before 2027? 0% chance Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? 97% chance Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? 1% chance Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance
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