Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?
3 markets gptAITechOpenAI
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessib…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? 30% chance Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026? 97% chance Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026? Closed