Bank of Canada Decision in July?
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This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the July 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement. The resolution source will be official in…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement? 97% chance Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement? 4% chance Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement? 1% chance Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement? 0% chance Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement? 0% chance