Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next model released by OpenAI has at least the specified score on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the date after the day of the release, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise,…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? 92% chance Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? 84% chance Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500? Closed Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520? Closed Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480? Closed