Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
9 markets Global ElectionsWorldBrazilPolitics
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General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election o…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? 91% chance
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? 1% chance
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? 6% chance Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? 68% chance
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? 4% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? 2% chance
Will Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? 10% chance
Will Ronaldo Caiado qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? 3% chance
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? 20% chance