Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
8 markets GeopoliticsUkraine MapUkraine
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of [the specified city or settlement] () by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specif…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? 8% chance Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? 29% chance Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? 9% chance Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? 24% chance Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? 48% chance Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? 18% chance Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? 5% chance Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? 10% chance