Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?
3 markets Ukraine MapUkraineGeopolitics
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 47.540813° N, 35.885706° E in Mala Tokmachka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection …
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? 23% chance Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? 37% chance Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by June 30, 2026? Closed