Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
19 markets Strait of HormuzIranNavalOil
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market w…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? 2% chance Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? 1% chance Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? 12% chance Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? 2% chance Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? 1% chance Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? 0% chance Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? 2% chance Will Qatar send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? 5% chance Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? 0% chance Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? 3% chance Will Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? 6% chance Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? 2% chance Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? 1% chance Will Kuwait send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? 4% chance Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? 10% chance Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? 43% chance Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? 4% chance Will Oman send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? 3% chance Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? 14% chance