How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
13 markets BusinessFed RatesJerome PowellEconomic Policy
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This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 77% chance Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 0% chance Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 0% chance Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 0% chance Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 0% chance Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 0% chance Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 0% chance Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 0% chance Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 0% chance Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 2% chance Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 0% chance Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 3% chance Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? 16% chance