June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
6 markets Global TempWeatherScience
About
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, …
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026? 10% chance
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026? 5% chance
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026? 88% chance
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026? 0% chance
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in June 2026? 0% chance
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in June 2026? 0% chance
