Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
37 markets PoliticsFrench ElectionsElectionsFrance
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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of Fra…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 73% chance
Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 2% chance
Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 0% chance
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 3% chance
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 2% chance
Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 1% chance
Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 1% chance
Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 6% chance
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 3% chance
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 0% chance
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 2% chance
Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 1% chance
Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 1% chance
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 41% chance
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 44% chance
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 8% chance
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 3% chance
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 20% chance
Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 7% chance
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 15% chance
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 40% chance
Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 24% chance
Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 6% chance
Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 31% chance Will another person advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 33% chance
Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 32% chance Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 31% chance
Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 7% chance
Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 8% chance
Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 28% chance
Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 29% chance
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 17% chance
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 14% chance
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 6% chance
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 7% chance
Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 3% chance
Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 4% chance