Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
16 markets SyriaYemenIsraelGeopolitics
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes.…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? 43% chance
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? 13% chance
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31? 5% chance
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31? 7% chance
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31? 8% chance
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? 14% chance
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31? 7% chance
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? 46% chance
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? 8% chance
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? 8% chance
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31? 5% chance
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? 11% chance
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? 6% chance
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31? 5% chance
Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31? 11% chance
Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31? 7% chance