Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
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This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, …
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 8% chance
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 12% chance
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 2% chance
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 1% chance
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 1% chance
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 1% chance
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 1% chance
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 1% chance
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 1% chance
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 2% chance
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 0% chance
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 1% chance
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 1% chance
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 5% chance
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 4% chance
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 2% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 0% chance
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 11% chance
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 1% chance
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 7% chance Will Person A win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person C win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person E win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person G win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person I win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person K win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person M win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person O win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person Q win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person S win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person U win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person W win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person Y win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AE win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AG win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AI win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AK win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AM win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AO win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AQ win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AS win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AU win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AW win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will any other person or organization win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person B win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person D win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person F win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person H win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person J win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person L win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person N win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person P win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person R win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person T win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person V win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person X win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person Z win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AB win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AD win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AF win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AH win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AJ win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AL win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AN win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AP win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AT win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed Will Person AX win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Closed