How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 22 - June 28?
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This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28? 0% chance Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28? 0% chance Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28? 0% chance Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28? 58% chance Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28? 0% chance Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28? 40% chance Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28? 10% chance