What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Markets in this event

Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.

Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? 37% chance

Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? 39% chance

Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? 41% chance

Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? 52% chance

Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? 27% chance

Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? 20% chance