Iran full airspace closure by...?
4 markets U.S. x IranIsrael x IranIran CeasefireIran
About
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a general closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “general closure” refers to a cancella…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Iran full airspace closure by June 30? 1% chance Iran full airspace closure by July 15? 11% chance Iran full airspace closure by August 31? 34% chance Iran full airspace closure by July 31? 20% chance