Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
11 markets PoliticsGeopoliticsWorldIsrael
About
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will …
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027? 4% chance
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? 5% chance
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? 19% chance
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? 23% chance
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? 19% chance
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? 10% chance
Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027? 11% chance
Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027? 12% chance
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? 10% chance
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? 8% chance Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027? 6% chance