GDP growth in 2026
6 markets EconomyEconomic PolicyGDP
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This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027. If the reported value falls…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%? 8% chance
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? 61% chance
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%? 23% chance
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? 5% chance
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? 11% chance
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? 13% chance
