How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
16 markets IsraelIranMiddle EastPolitics
About
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country th…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? 60% chance
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? 4% chance
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? 2% chance
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? 1% chance
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? 28% chance
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? 2% chance
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? 0% chance
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? 2% chance
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? 0% chance
Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026? 0% chance
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? 0% chance
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? 0% chance
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? Closed
Will Israel strike 1 country in 2026? Closed
Will Israel strike 0 countries in 2026? Closed
Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026? Closed
