How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
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This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards …
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Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? 36% chance Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026? 1% chance Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026? 1% chance Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? 3% chance Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026? 3% chance Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? 36% chance Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026? 14% chance Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? 6% chance Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026? Closed Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026? Closed Will the US strike 1 country in 2026? Closed Will the US strike 3 countries in 2026? Closed Will the US strike 2 countries in 2026? Closed Will the US strike 0 countries in 2026? Closed Will the US strike 4 countries in 2026? Closed Will the US strike 5 countries in 2026? Closed