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296 events
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Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
20%
chance
Buy Yes 20¢ Buy No 80¢
$16.9K Vol
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?
5%
chance
Buy Yes 5¢ Buy No 96¢
$16.9K Vol
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?
2%
chance
Buy Yes 2¢ Buy No 98¢
$18.6K Vol
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?
7%
chance
Buy Yes 7¢ Buy No 94¢
$19.4K Vol
Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
0%
chance
Buy Yes 0¢ Buy No 100¢
$22.3K Vol
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by...?
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30? 11% Buy
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? 39% Buy
$22.5K Vol
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?
1%
chance
Buy Yes 1¢ Buy No 99¢
$23.2K Vol
Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?
100%
chance
Buy Yes 100¢ Buy No 0¢
$23.4K Vol
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?
0%
chance
Buy Yes 0¢ Buy No 100¢
$23.7K Vol
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
13%
chance
Buy Yes 13¢ Buy No 88¢
$24.4K Vol
Will Russia capture Prymorske by...?
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? 33% Buy
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? 11% Buy
Will Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026? 1% Buy
$25.3K Vol
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by...?
28%
chance
Buy Yes 28¢ Buy No 73¢
$25.4K Vol
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by...?
36%
chance
Buy Yes 36¢ Buy No 64¢
$27.4K Vol
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
11%
chance
Buy Yes 11¢ Buy No 90¢
$28.1K Vol
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? 23% Buy
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? 8% Buy
$28.4K Vol
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?
0%
chance
Buy Yes 0¢ Buy No 100¢
$28.5K Vol
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
13%
chance
Buy Yes 13¢ Buy No 87¢
$28.8K Vol
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
7%
chance
Buy Yes 7¢ Buy No 94¢
$29.7K Vol
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by June 30, 2026? 2% Buy
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? 39% Buy
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? 61% Buy
$30.8K Vol
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?
1%
chance
Buy Yes 1¢ Buy No 99¢
$30.9K Vol
Trump meets with Putin by...?
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? 38% Buy
Trump meets with Putin by June 30? 1% Buy
Trump meets with Putin by September 30? 11% Buy
$31.2K Vol
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by...?
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? 19% Buy
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? 33% Buy
$32.0K Vol
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
7%
chance
Buy Yes 7¢ Buy No 93¢
$32.4K Vol
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by July 31? 10% Buy
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30? 48% Buy
$33.0K Vol
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