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Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? 42% Buy
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? 7% Buy
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? 17% Buy
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? 11% Buy
+1 more options →
$45.9K Vol
Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? 83% Buy
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? 10% Buy
Will Mike Cox win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? 4% Buy
Will Aric Nesbitt win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? 0% Buy
+7 more options →
$46.0K Vol
Will Spencer Pratt concede by…?
20%
chance
Buy Yes 20¢ Buy No 81¢
$46.1K Vol
Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 29?
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 29? 97% Buy
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 29? 2% Buy
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 29? 0% Buy
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 29? 0% Buy
+7 more options →
$46.1K Vol
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
10%
chance
Buy Yes 10¢ Buy No 90¢
$46.2K Vol
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
8%
chance
Buy Yes 8¢ Buy No 92¢
$46.2K Vol
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
14%
chance
Buy Yes 14¢ Buy No 87¢
$46.3K Vol
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? 63% Buy
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? 34% Buy
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? 3% Buy
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? 0% Buy
+1 more options →
$46.4K Vol
World Cup: Paraguay Stage of Elimination
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? 87% Buy
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? 12% Buy
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? 0% Buy
Will Paraguay win the World Cup? 0% Buy
+2 more options →
$46.4K Vol
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? 28% Buy
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? 38% Buy
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? 17% Buy
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? 14% Buy
+10 more options →
$46.4K Vol
Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?
Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor Secretary 51% Buy
Will Donald Trump announce Andrew Puzder as the next United States Labor Secretary 18% Buy
Will Donald Trump announce Brandon Williams as the next United States Labor Secretary 2% Buy
Will Donald Trump announce Bryan Slater as the next United States Labor Secretary 10% Buy
+7 more options →
$46.5K Vol
Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?
11%
chance
Buy Yes 11¢ Buy No 90¢
$46.5K Vol
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
17%
chance
Buy Yes 17¢ Buy No 84¢
$46.5K Vol
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 30?
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 30? 0% Buy
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 30? 0% Buy
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 30? 30% Buy
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 30? 1% Buy
+7 more options →
$46.7K Vol
"Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office
Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? 98% Buy
Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? 0% Buy
Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m? 0% Buy
Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m? 2% Buy
+1 more options →
$47.1K Vol
UFC: Who Will Arnold Allen Fight Next?
Will Yair Rodriguez fight Arnold Allen next? 51% Buy
Will Movsar Evloev fight Arnold Allen next? 25% Buy
Will Alexander Volkanovski fight Arnold Allen next? 26% Buy
Will Youssef Zalal fight Arnold Allen next? 45% Buy
+3 more options →
$47.2K Vol
World Cup: Furthest Advancing CONMEBOL Nation
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup? 63% Buy
Will Brazil be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup? 22% Buy
Will Colombia be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup? 12% Buy
Will Paraguay be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup? 1% Buy
+1 more options →
$47.3K Vol
VA-09 House Election Winner
Will the Republican Party win the VA-09 House seat? 92% Buy
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-09 House seat? 7% Buy
$47.3K Vol
Highest temperature in London on June 29?
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 29? 1% Buy
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 29? 10% Buy
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 29? 30% Buy
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 29? 23% Buy
+7 more options →
$47.3K Vol
LA-02 House Election Winner
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat? 93% Buy
Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat? 6% Buy
$47.6K Vol
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
6%
chance
Buy Yes 6¢ Buy No 95¢
$47.8K Vol
Spain vs. Austria
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? 76% Buy
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02? 8% Buy
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? 18% Buy
$47.8K Vol
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by...?
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30? 1% Buy
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? 34% Buy
$48.2K Vol
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by...?
19%
chance
Buy Yes 19¢ Buy No 82¢
$48.2K Vol