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How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? 70% Buy
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? 0% Buy
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? 26% Buy
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? 4% Buy
+2 more options →
$1.2M Vol
Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? 3% Buy
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? 0% Buy
Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? 1% Buy
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? 96% Buy
+5 more options →
$1.2M Vol
Who will Merab Dvalishivili fight next?
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Rob Font next? 0% Buy
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Ricky Simón next? 1% Buy
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Song Yadong next? 4% Buy
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Alexandre Pantoja next? 16% Buy
+9 more options →
$1.2M Vol
Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? 1% Buy
Will Tim Elliott be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? 0% Buy
Will Asu Almabayev be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? 0% Buy
Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? 37% Buy
+7 more options →
$1.2M Vol
Who will acquire TikTok?
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok? 0% Buy
Will Meta acquire TikTok? 0% Buy
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok? 0% Buy
Will Walmart acquire TikTok? 0% Buy
+2 more options →
$1.2M Vol
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30? 0% Buy
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? 40% Buy
$1.2M Vol
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? 84% Buy
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? 1% Buy
Will Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition? 0% Buy
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 12% Buy
$1.2M Vol
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
14%
chance
Buy Yes 14¢ Buy No 87¢
$1.2M Vol
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
8%
chance
Buy Yes 8¢ Buy No 92¢
$1.2M Vol
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? 85% Buy
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? 5% Buy
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? 12% Buy
$1.2M Vol
Greece x Turkey military engagement by...?
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? 0% Buy
Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31? 38% Buy
$1.2M Vol
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
2%
chance
Buy Yes 2¢ Buy No 98¢
$1.2M Vol
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
30%
chance
Buy Yes 30¢ Buy No 71¢
$1.2M Vol
Belgium vs. Senegal
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? 46% Buy
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? 25% Buy
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw? 30% Buy
$1.2M Vol
Will any country leave NATO by...?
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? 0% Buy
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? 3% Buy
$1.2M Vol
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? 45% Buy
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? 28% Buy
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? 46% Buy
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? 30% Buy
+12 more options →
$1.3M Vol
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? 13% Buy
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? 20% Buy
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? 3% Buy
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? 3% Buy
+1 more options →
$1.3M Vol
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? 22% Buy
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? 23% Buy
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? 38% Buy
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? 4% Buy
+2 more options →
$1.3M Vol
Crude Oil all time high by...?
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? 0% Buy
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? 8% Buy
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? 16% Buy
$1.3M Vol
Which NFL players will be traded?
Will Kyler Murray be traded? 1% Buy
Will Alec Pierce be traded? 1% Buy
Will De'Von Achane be traded? 6% Buy
Will D.K. Metcalf be traded? 4% Buy
+10 more options →
$1.4M Vol
Lai Ching-te impeached by...?
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? 0% Buy
Lai Ching-te impeached by December 31? 47% Buy
$1.4M Vol
Top Spotify Artist 2026
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2026? 1% Buy
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026? 85% Buy
Will Beyoncé be the top Spotify artist for 2026? 1% Buy
Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2026? 1% Buy
+6 more options →
$1.4M Vol
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
5%
chance
Buy Yes 5¢ Buy No 96¢
$1.4M Vol
NBA: Giannis Antetokounmpo Next Team
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27? 0% Buy
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? 99% Buy
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? 0% Buy
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27? 0% Buy
+26 more options →
$1.4M Vol